Nadina Ronc

Delivers strategic threat assessments on Russian foreign and security policy, military strategy and hybrid warfare for defence, policy and consultancy audiences, including the U.S. Army War College and JSOU. Produces policy‑relevant analysis and long‑term risk assessments on Russia, Africa and the Western Balkans for NATO deterrence, European security and allied force posture, and develops briefings on hybrid threats, influence operations and PMCs for senior Euro‑Atlantic decision‑makers.

Authored a JSOU monograph on Russia’s institutionalisation of influence in Africa, focusing on land forces, PMCs and SOF‑operations, using red‑team methods to challenge assumptions about Russian behaviour. Assessed integration of Russian land, air and information capabilities, including Wagner/Africa Corps, and drew implications for US Special Operations Forces and European security. Small Wars Journal described it as one of the most comprehensive threat assessments of Russian grey‑zone activity in Africa.

Conducted SSI‑funded research on Russian interference in Western Balkans security and politics, examining tools and courses of action across political, military and information domains. Produced an intelligence‑style assessment of Russia’s leverage in the region especially Serbia and Republika Srpska, including arming patterns, force‑posture risks and escalation pathways relevant to Allied and NATO planning, published as “Bosnia & Russia” and informing debates on European security and Euro‑Atlantic policy.